SELECTED BLOG POSTS

Prediction: the Successor to Postmodernism – by Alex Danco

Prediction markets have product-moment fit: they’re perfectly suited for the zeitgeist right now. And I think they carry a torch for a much bigger movement than what you see at face value. “Prediction” is now the entire game. It is the movement and meta-aesthetic that defines our main branch of society going forward; about how we interpret the world and participate in the AI century.

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Technology and Labor Markets: Past, Present, and Future; Evidence from Two Centuries of Innovation | NBER

We use recent advances in natural language processing and large language models to construct novel measures of technology exposure for workers that span almost two centuries. Combining our measures with Census data on occupation employment, we show that technological progress over the 20th century has led to economically meaningful shifts in labor demand across occupations: it has consistently increased demand for occupations with higher education requirements, occupations that pay higher wages, and occupations with a greater fraction of female workers. Using these insights and a calibrated model, we then explore different scenarios for how advances in artificial intelligence (AI) are likely to impact employment trends in the medium run. The model predicts a reversal of past trends, with AI favoring occupations that are lower-educated, lower-paid, and more male-dominated.

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The CIO’s New Mandate: Enterprise AI | CXOTalk

Artificial intelligence has moved from the lab to the boardroom, and CIOs are facing a new mandate: transform from technology operators to AI strategists. But what does that actually mean? In episode 898, Tim Crawford, CIO advisor at AVOA, reveals why most organizations remain stuck in "pilot purgatory," what it takes to scale AI across the enterprise, and how CIOs must fundamentally reimagine their role, their infrastructure, and their approach to risk.

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A US tech-consulting firm has launched a VC arm to invest in enterprise-AI startups — how should large consulting firms shift their business models in the AI era? | by tlooto AI | Oct, 2025 | Medium

A US tech-consulting firm has launched a VC arm to invest in enterprise-AI startups — how should large consulting firms shift their business models in the AI era? Intent of the Question – The …

– The question asks: Given that a US tech-consulting firm has launched a VC arm to invest in enterprise-AI startups, what strategic business-model shifts should large consulting firms make in the AI era? The response should be decisive, specific, and well-cited, drawing on the supplied research.

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Will there be a Coasean singularity? – Marginal REVOLUTION

By Peyman Shahidi, Gili Rusak, Benjamin S. Manning, Andrey Fradkin & John J. Horton: AI agents—autonomous systems that perceive, reason, and act on behalf of human principals—are poised to transform digital markets by dramatically reducing transaction costs. This chapter evaluates the economic implications of this transition, adopting a consumer-oriented view of agents as market participants that can search, negotiate, and […]

I call it “AI for markets in everything.”  Here is the paper, and here is a relevant Twitter thread, there is now so much new work for economists to do…

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